Brazil Candidates Tie at 50 Percent

The final debate between Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro ended with the two men deadlocked in public opinion. A survey by the Datafolha institute released on Thursday shows both candidates at 50 percent. This result erases the four point lead Bolsonaro held in polls from two weeks prior. The vote takes place on Sunday in Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo.

The candidates met for their last campaign debate on Friday, broadcast on TV Globo. The discussion focused on the economy, infrastructure, and regional development. Lula challenged Bolsonaro’s plan to cut public spending, comparing it to the approach of Argentina’s President Javier Milei. Bolsonaro argued that Lula left the country bankrupt, requiring the same corrective action.

Bolsonaro accused the incumbent of allowing organized crime to expand and failing to control the cost of living. Lula responded by questioning Bolsonaro’s background, stating that the senator does not know what hunger is. The president also declared that his rival does not know Brazil. Bolsonaro countered by asking why goods are so expensive, framing his candidacy as a vehicle for change.

Tensions rose when Bolsonaro referred to Lula as Nine Fingers, a nickname referencing an accident during Lula’s time as a metalworker. The 80 year old president demanded an apology, which Bolsonaro provided. Later, Lula called Bolsonaro a vigilante, citing allegations of ties to paramilitary groups in Rio. Bolsonaro said he would classify such groups as narcoterrorists.

A third dispute involved a five year old child killed in a shootout involving a police officer represented by Bolsonaro. The candidate stated he did not believe his client was guilty. This exchange marked one of the few heated moments in a debate that was generally more diplomatic than the first meeting on Sunday.

Bolsonaro finished first in the initial round of voting on October 4, receiving 47 percent of the vote compared to Lula’s 45 percent. The current tie suggests a highly competitive runoff. Both candidates are scheduled to hold final rallies in Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo before the election.

The Datafolha survey indicates that the race has tightened considerably in the final days. The 50 percent tie places both candidates on even footing as they enter the last two days of campaigning. No further major polling is expected before the vote.